Beginning this evening and overnight, we will see our first measurable snowfall in a LONG time. The event itself will not be a major one, but it will feature the return of winter weather.

The snow will begin this evening between 8-10PM and overspread the region. Generally, snowfall will be light to moderate throughout. The snow will then end from south to north in the morning hours. Long Island MAY switch to sleet or some light rain at the end of the storm. Overall, accumulations will be in the area of 1-3 inches. 

I’m sure by now you’ve heard the news hyping up a potential storm for this weekend. As of this afternoon and evening, most models have trended away from a significant snow event for Long Island and the city. 

The forecast is still subject to change and minor deviations to the track could place us back into a 6-10inch type of snow event. However with where the models have trended I am leaning against this possibility. 

I’ll post an update tomorrow evening or possibly earlier if there are significant changes in modeling. 

And we’re back for another winter season! As of this evening, it looks like there is a chance for our region to see the first snow of the season on Sunday evening. The good news is that I don’t think it will accumulate much if at all on Long Island. However, North and West of the city and Connecticut could see several inches of snow. 

The big wild card is how quickly the cold air pulls into the system, which right now most models are showing only enough cold making its way down for mood flakes but no accumulating snowfall.

Either way winter weather is officially here!

With the storm on our doorstep I wanted to provide a quick update: Trends over the last 24hrs have been towards less snow for our area. Instead of the storm beginning as snow, we are likely to see some light rain and with a changeover to snow later this morning. Snow will end by early evening. Totals will generally be 2-5” with slightly more towards the East End. Overall this will prove to be a low impact event for the region.

Moving forward I am keeping my eye on several threats for the coming week and beyond. More on that later today or tomorrow.

In what has come as a bit of a surprise it looks like our area will be impacted by a snowstorm beginning on early Sunday morning. As recently as yesterday morning the storm was looking to track far off the eastern seaboard. However, with yesterday’s model runs and continuing in to today, models are indicating that we will in-fact be impacted by the system.

As of now there are two camps, one that brings anywhere from 4-8 inches of snow to our area by early Sunday evening. The other camp led by the NAM brings closer to a foot of snow to Long Island with slightly less in NYC and areas North and West. 

For now, I am predicting a general 4-8 inches of snow area wide, with the snow beginning before sunrise on Sunday and ending in the late afternoon before kick-off of the Superbowl. We will have to keep an eye on the trends tonight and tomorrow as another bump Northwest in the track would solidly put the region in the 8-12+ range.