Tonight’s storm is proving to be a tricky one to forecast, a difference of 20-30 miles in the track of the storm will mean a significant difference in snowfall totals. As of now my forecast for tonight is as follows: Precipitation will overspread the region from West to East beginning around 6 or 7 PM. Precipitation may be in the form of rain or light snow, I’d lean towards light snow in NYC and Western areas and rain the further East you go on Long Island. The precipitation will begin to change to all snow during the evening, with the changeover happening earlier further North and West first. Precipitation will end by sunrise Sunday morning. This is looking like a classic storm where the North Shore of Nassau and Queens/NYC will see an earlier changeover than the South shore and Suffolk. As of now, the battleground for Rain/Snow looks to be the LIE in Nassau county and Queens, in Suffolk the changeover line may be closer to 347 or 25. I will caution that if the storm tracks further North or South the changeover line will have to be adjusted. I probably will have a better idea of where this line will set up this evening as the storm is starting. Below is my first guess/call for this storm, but I’ll caution that I have lower confidence than usual in this forecast. One final thing to keep in mind is that tomorrow temperatures will rise into the lower 40’s and whatever snow does fall will likely melt during the day.
