Sunday Afternoon Update

Summary:
Monday: Low 40’s no expected precipitation
Tuesday: Cold, chance of snow or rain in the afternoon into the evening. Changing to rain overnight.
Wednesday: It gonna rain
Thursday: Rain in the morning, clearing out for the afternoon. Will be warmest in the morning, temperature is expected to drop throughout the day

Forecast Discussion:

As promised, I have some updates both about the weather for this weekend and the coming week.

First, regarding this evening into Monday morning:

We can expect some light to moderate rain beginning around 6 or 7PM. The rain should end before sunrise on Monday. We will then clear out with temperatures in the low 40’s on Monday.

Once the Monday event clears out, we turn our eyes towards Tuesday and beyond. If the NAM and GGEM are correct, we could be looking at 3-6 inches of snow late Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night, with a changeover to rain late Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. I will caution that the EURO and GFS do not agree, with the Euro showing a slushy inch or two, and the GFS showing no snow at all. Needless to say there is high uncertainty at this point in time. This will be a now-cast situation.

NAM:

NAM_FEB2116_HR42

GFS:

GFS_FEB2116_HR54

Following the Tuesday night event, we can expect unsettled weather through Thursday. A low pressure system will track to the west of the region and bring rain to our area. Temperatures early Thursday could approach 60 degrees as the low pressure system begins to pull away from the region. There is no reason to believe that this system will bring any snow to the area.

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